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Top 3 Models

A brief introduction to the correlation between The Greg Jennings Score, and future NFL Success. Nerds, enjoy.

Rookiechart.png

Rookie Year

R-squared value: 

0.4882

​

Line of best fit equation:

y = 0.2902x^2 - 1.4847x + 3.7153

3yrchart.png

3 Year

R-squared value: 

0.6572

​

Line of best fit equation:

y = -0.0172x^4 + 0.4003x^3 - 3.021x^2 + 10.286x - 11.586

7yrchart.png

7 Year

R-squared value: 

0.7292

​

Line of best fit equation:

y = 0.0237x^3 - 0.1x&2 + 0.8265x + 0.0797

What goes into the Greg Jennings Score?

Key Performance Indicators

  • Draft Capital

  • Age

  • AVG DR

  • PPG

  • Best PPG

  • YAC/rec

  • Rec/gm

  • RecTD/gm

  • RecYD/gm

  • Bench

  • 40 time

  • 3 cone time

  • vertical

  • broad jump

  • BMI

  • Level of competition

Confused on any of these ratings? Check out the definitions section below.

Key Performance Indicator Definitions

Draft Results​

  • Draft Capital: Round drafted in. The sooner, the better.

  • Age: Age when drafted

College Statistics

  • AVG DR: DR = Average Dominator Rating. "Dominator rating adds a player's career yardage share and TD share and divides them by two. Dominator rating is a critical component of breakout age analysis, first introduced by Frank DuPont and Shawn Siegele at RotoViz." -FantasyLife.com

  • PPG: Average points per game over entire college career

  • Best PPG: Points per game from best college season

  • YAC/rec: Yards after catch per reception

  • Rec/gm: Receptions per game

  • RecTD/gm: Receiving Touchdowns per game

  • RecYD/gm: Receiving Yards per game

Combine Results

  • Bench: Max bench press repetitions at 225 pounds

  • 40 time: 40 yard dash time in seconds

  • 3 cone time: Time to complete 3 cone drill. Measure of agility.

  • vertical: Max vertical jump in inches

  • broad jump: Max standing broad jump length

  • BMI: Body Mass Index

  • Level of competition: Indicated by conference they played in. Higher level of competition = better

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